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Real Estate News and Advice |
October 10, 2008 |
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Realty Viewpoint: Good News For Foreclosures From Detroit
by Blanche Evans
If it feels to you like the flood of foreclosures is never going to end, there's signs of hope coming from an unlikely place. According to the broker-owned Realcomp, housing sales in foreclosure-drenched Detroit and Wayne County are up for the fifth consecutive month. Prices are irresistible. The median sales price on a foreclosed home in May was just under $39,000 ($38,875,) while the median price on non-foreclosed homes was $124,500. The city of Detroit registered more foreclosure sales (644) than non-foreclosure sales (395.) May MLS listings were still high at about 66,000, but that's down remarkably (7.44 percent) from May 2006. Year to date, sales are up 12.7 percent over 2006, and Realcomp reports that pending sales for May were also up, suggesting that June will sustain the trend. The MLS says that foreclosures are obviously still a drag on the marketplace. Michigan is fifth in the nation for foreclosures, but that homes are priced to sell. That's an understatement -- home prices are down 33 percent in the MLS, and as much as 69 percent in the city of Detroit. Homes that sold for $27,000 a year ago are fetching only 8,500 today for foreclosures, and $8,625 for non-foreclosures. The bad news here is that Motown has suffered mass layoffs since the first oil and gas crisis in the 1970s and 80s, and mass layoffs may spread like a virus to the rest of the country. The Department of Labor says that the number of mass layoff events, those in which 50 or more employees are let go as measured by filings for unemployment insurance, have increased significantly over last year. From January through May 2008, there have been 7,615 mass layoffs and unemployment claims of 783,942, while the same period in 2007 was 6,325 mass layoffs and 650,605 claims. But before things get worse, they might get better. An employment outlook entitled Beyond the Big Leave finds that between 1999 and 2007 Michigan lost 29 percent of employment from the Detroit Three, Ford, Chrysler and GM. The report notes that employment will continue to decline through 2016, but that new hires replacing aging boomers and other attrition will attract workers, although they will be paid less than their counterparts were before massive buyouts. As the Detroit Three retool themselves for a new smaller car market, as many as 46,000 new workers could be hired in Michigan alone. As one CAR analyst says, "The bleeding will stop." Published: June 23, 2008 Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal copyright laws.
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