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Real Estate News and Advice |
October 7, 2008 |
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Realty Viewpoint: Lexapro And Depressed Housing Markets
by Blanche Evans
Finally there's some good news for the housing market. The market's still terrible, but you can feel better about it if you take Lexapro. Researchers at Decision Resources have found that Lexapro is the leading single agent used in anxiety therapy. Know for it's superior safety and tolerability, and low risk of drug-drug interactions, Lexapro is at least as useful in dealing with the housing market as some of the other solutions out there. It's bad enough that we have buyers who can't get mortgage loans and homeowners who can't pull equity out of their homes to buy second homes. Now inflation is impacting home sales, and not in a good way. Mortgage interest rates rise on news of inflation and are up nearly a half a point from a month ago. When inflation is higher, 10-year Treasury bond yields go up. Mortgage interest rates are influenced by long term rates. Every one/eighth of a point translates to about $25 a month in payments, so hello to mortgage payments nearly $100 higher. Homebuyers can add that to their budgets as they plan how to pay for goods and services that have gone up 4.2 percent since last year, while their salaries have remained flat. Four percent of those increases are just for energy and food. Meanwhile, unemployment is edging up to 5.5 percent. They can also add on the cost of Lexapro. Due to the increased use of mood elevators, the cost of Lexapro continues to go up. Making matters worse, many HMOs refuse to cover it since so many people appear to need it. If your insurance company doesn't cover Lexapro, you'll have to rely on other things to feel better about the housing market, like ... perspective. Yes, housing is down, but the slow market is way out of whack with job fundamentals. You can depress yourself with forecasts that housing prices will bottom 30 to 40 percent lower than the highs of 2005. Or, you can go back in history and note that the last time prices bottomed so dramatically was during the Great Depression when 40 percent of Americans were out of work. We're a long way from that. In the newest UCLA Anderson forecast by Dr. Edward Leamer, he writes that "the housing market's drag on the nation's gross domestic product may prove to be "the most severe since the Great Depression," but he also says that "history suggests this cannot go on much longer." In other words, what's down will come up again. What makes me so confident? It's not Lexapro. It's human nature. When prices and sales are bad enough, yet people still have incomes, they'll buy houses, because it will be in their economic interest to do so. And right now, the median house is within healthy buying range of the median income. In 2005 at the height of the market, it took 4.2 times income to buy a home. A household income of $59,500 today can buy the median home priced at $202,300, or 3.4 times earnings. Affordability is the treatment we need. Published: June 19, 2008 Use of this article without permission is a violation of federal copyright laws.
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